Saturday, November 12, 2011

GBP/USD on 14-Nov-2011 Mon


Monthly outlook: same, consolidation with bullish bias towards 1.6350.
Weekly Candle: 2nd indecisive candle on weekly chart, market testing important support / resistance level.

Lets look at the same chart... Daily Chart for GBP/USD

Important Resistance level: 1.6160
Important Support level: 1.5860

Last week, GBP/USD attempt to test 1.6160, but resisted at 1.6130 and came down to 1.5866 without touching either the identified support / resistance level.

In fact, I chicken out to buy when market form a bearish candle on Wednesday, it is very close to support level... However, on Thursday market form a doji, and a positive candle on Friday.

So, it is the market doing consolidation, and fulfilled the initial shadow for November month candle.

From monthly outlook, I am bullish, but patiently waiting for breakout to the top, target 1.6350.

Intraday chart (4 Hour)

Definitely a consolidation pattern.
And as per the chart, even after missing the opportunity to long near support 1.5860, we can capture long opportunity at the mid point 1.5990, with a bigger risk tolerance level...

Day Trade:
Aggressive Long at initial shadow (40 pips) 1.6020. SL 1.5970, TG 1.6150 (or EOD).

Position Trade:
Long at 1.5980 SL 1.5900 TG 1.6350.

GBP/USD on 11-Nov
GBP/USD on 8-Nov

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