Followup on my Gold posting on 5-11-2010 (Last Friday)
Gold has hit my 3L target of 1421 region and doing correction for the remaining of the week.
Gold has closed at 1367 and this is the first sign of weakness (closed below Z1 line).
If gold maintain below this level and continue to downward movement and break the BKO of 1365, followed I would short gold and ride for 2 weeks.
Following Supports: 1349, 1319, and 1315.
New! 14-11-2010 (Sun)
I am looking at Gold to retrace to 1,335:
1) PW trader can consider the inner wave from Top (1424)
2) Gold trend up from July-10 (1157), refer Daily Chart, if Gold is going to continue up trend, this correction is imminent! If we use Fibonacci retracement theory, Gold is likely to find its 1st support near 1,335.
For those who wants to know what is PowerWave (动力波浪), you can contact my most supportive + most professional mentor JC at +6016 280 2227 to catch our next workshop or join our upcoming seminars!
Cheers!
Ayumi, the novice Trader
Saturday, November 13, 2010
Friday, November 12, 2010
Successful Trader
Reading: 7 Habits of a Highly Successful Trader by Mark Crisp
Source: www.stressfreetrading.com
Best quotes:
Source: www.stressfreetrading.com
Best quotes:
Aim to be the world's best trader with the system you create.
This is where the majority of traders go wrong. They have no idea which style of trading suites them. They keep buying into the latest softawre or listening to the new guru, hoping thhis will change their trading results. Most never get to know what successful trading is all about as the average trader lasts SIX months. I believe any trader who can last over TWO years in the market will probably go on to become one of those rare breeds: A Stock Market Winner. Why? Because after two years they start to develop a set of rules that fits them. They start trading a way they are comfortable with. Unfortunately, in their haste to make a ton of money, most traders will never get two years experience before they lose their money and/or their interest.
Say it today.
"I will find a system that fits me and I will become THE WORLD'S BEST TRADER at this ONE style of trading!"
DJIA
Quick update on DJIA
We can see that the current top of 11451 acts as a good resistance and DJIA has been forming a evening star on Monday followed by 3 days of downward movement.
For PW Traders and ProTM associates:
Tonight, if DJIA has broken yesterday low of 11231 and closed below 11230 the Z1 line, it gives us the first sign of trapezium formation.
Traders are recommended to short DJIA but must wait for the sign to develop as there would also be false break.
Plan your trade, and trade your plan only.
- 7 Habits of a successful trader.
We can see that the current top of 11451 acts as a good resistance and DJIA has been forming a evening star on Monday followed by 3 days of downward movement.
For PW Traders and ProTM associates:
Tonight, if DJIA has broken yesterday low of 11231 and closed below 11230 the Z1 line, it gives us the first sign of trapezium formation.
Traders are recommended to short DJIA but must wait for the sign to develop as there would also be false break.
Plan your trade, and trade your plan only.
- 7 Habits of a successful trader.
Thursday, November 11, 2010
Transactions (FX) and (DJI)
quick updates on both of the market I watch:
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
Cash market closed at 11,357
Closed CFD Long entry at 4am at +47 points. And it started to fall from then... :) Lucky!
Today's queue:
Long DJIA Entry 11280 SL 11240 TG 11400
(Futures market is currently doing correction and coming very close to my entry price)
Short DJIA Entry 11453 SL 11493 TG 11300
USD/JPY
Breakout from 81.50 resistance and already break above 82.00 level.
The breakout is too fast and I decided not to trade.
Clue 1:
from Intraday chart (30M, and 4 Hour) USD/JPY is currently doing retracement from current top 82.80 region. If the rally is going to continue, it is very likely to find its support at 82.00-10 and race towards 83.00.
Clue 2:
from Day chart, EMA4 and EMA20 crossing! Presenting a bullish signal as I have laid out on my weekly forecast.
Clue 3:
Once USD/JPY breakabove this top 82.80, it would continue to rally towards 84.50 region.
Clue 4:
However, from another point of view (Bearish), this top also a resistance level that would push the dollar yen down (trend line), if the support of 82.00 failed and we would very likely to see a pull back to 81.50 followed by 80.50.
As always mentioned by mentor JC and sifu DAR Wong, a trader should not have conflicting views in a market (meaning having Long view and Short view at the same time), my view is that USD/JPY will do a little bit of pull back to 82.00 region and continue to 83.00 or higher at 84.50, but everything just happened too fast and I don't see myself in this trade, therefore, Ayumi no trade on USD/JPY and see how the market unfolds.
Metta to all~~!
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
Cash market closed at 11,357
Closed CFD Long entry at 4am at +47 points. And it started to fall from then... :) Lucky!
Today's queue:
Long DJIA Entry 11280 SL 11240 TG 11400
(Futures market is currently doing correction and coming very close to my entry price)
Short DJIA Entry 11453 SL 11493 TG 11300
USD/JPY
Breakout from 81.50 resistance and already break above 82.00 level.
The breakout is too fast and I decided not to trade.
Clue 1:
from Intraday chart (30M, and 4 Hour) USD/JPY is currently doing retracement from current top 82.80 region. If the rally is going to continue, it is very likely to find its support at 82.00-10 and race towards 83.00.
Clue 2:
from Day chart, EMA4 and EMA20 crossing! Presenting a bullish signal as I have laid out on my weekly forecast.
Clue 3:
Once USD/JPY breakabove this top 82.80, it would continue to rally towards 84.50 region.
Clue 4:
However, from another point of view (Bearish), this top also a resistance level that would push the dollar yen down (trend line), if the support of 82.00 failed and we would very likely to see a pull back to 81.50 followed by 80.50.
As always mentioned by mentor JC and sifu DAR Wong, a trader should not have conflicting views in a market (meaning having Long view and Short view at the same time), my view is that USD/JPY will do a little bit of pull back to 82.00 region and continue to 83.00 or higher at 84.50, but everything just happened too fast and I don't see myself in this trade, therefore, Ayumi no trade on USD/JPY and see how the market unfolds.
Metta to all~~!
Wednesday, November 10, 2010
DJIA and USD/JPY
So cool on DJIA!!
It has come to our support 11340 and formed a reversal pattern. it seems that this support is still holding well.
My order was not filled and andI am expecting Dow to test the second support near 11,250 region.
Intraday Trading Plan for DJIA, 10-11-2010 (Wed)
Long Entry: 11282, SL 11242, TG 11400
Short Entry: 11454, SL 11494, TG 11300
USD/JPY
USD/JPY has break out from 81.50 and has formed a nice pattern on 4 Hour Chart!
I thought it would need to take 1 week to breakout, however, this has also happened to fast and sad to say Ayumi the novice trader do not know how to trade and I am just expecting it to do some correction after this run-up!
:)
It has come to our support 11340 and formed a reversal pattern. it seems that this support is still holding well.
My order was not filled and andI am expecting Dow to test the second support near 11,250 region.
Intraday Trading Plan for DJIA, 10-11-2010 (Wed)
Long Entry: 11282, SL 11242, TG 11400
Short Entry: 11454, SL 11494, TG 11300
USD/JPY
USD/JPY has break out from 81.50 and has formed a nice pattern on 4 Hour Chart!
I thought it would need to take 1 week to breakout, however, this has also happened to fast and sad to say Ayumi the novice trader do not know how to trade and I am just expecting it to do some correction after this run-up!
:)
Tuesday, November 9, 2010
DJIA
We expect a little bit of pull back after DJIA sharp gain on last Thursday.
Although the trend is still bullish, we are cautious about the bullishness in view of a evening star forming last Friday and Monday in the daily charts.
Hence Ayumi would prefer to wait for a pullback before buying in. On the upside, DJIA would likely surpass 11500 and touch 11650 within this month.
Look for DJIA to be supported at 11340 followed by 11250 which will present good buying opportunities.
Intraday Trading Plan for DJIA, 9-11-2010 (Tuesday)
Long Entry: 11272, SL 11232, TG 11400
Short Entry: 11451, SL 11491, TG 11300
Although the trend is still bullish, we are cautious about the bullishness in view of a evening star forming last Friday and Monday in the daily charts.
Hence Ayumi would prefer to wait for a pullback before buying in. On the upside, DJIA would likely surpass 11500 and touch 11650 within this month.
Look for DJIA to be supported at 11340 followed by 11250 which will present good buying opportunities.
Intraday Trading Plan for DJIA, 9-11-2010 (Tuesday)
Long Entry: 11272, SL 11232, TG 11400
Short Entry: 11451, SL 11491, TG 11300
USD/JPY
kumofx has posted an early update today, on this blog and our traders' forum.
We are not alone hoping the world economy to return to normal after injection of high dose of 'tongkat ali' :)
USD/JPY
Little formation in USD/JPY and hoping the bottom of 80.30 hold strong and market reversal in coming week.
Patience.
refer to my Sunday posting on USD/JPY:
Related: 3 Major FX Update for Mon 9-Nov-2010
We are not alone hoping the world economy to return to normal after injection of high dose of 'tongkat ali' :)
USD/JPY
Little formation in USD/JPY and hoping the bottom of 80.30 hold strong and market reversal in coming week.
Patience.
refer to my Sunday posting on USD/JPY:
Travel in consolidation, no direction in this currency pair, if you employ EMA4 and EMA20 trading method, you need to be patient, we are going to trade if USD/JPY breaks above 81.60 or 82.00.
Failing to break above these 2 levels, this pair is going to fall to 79.80 region --- Lowest level since April 1995.
Ayumi Waiting patiently.
Related: 3 Major FX Update for Mon 9-Nov-2010
Monday, November 8, 2010
Weekly Forecast
Market was wild last Thursday and moved up 218 points from 11,216 but I lost only 100 points shorting DJIA from 11,240. Sifu always emphasize on controlling our SL. DO NOT carry overnight losses and ruin yourself!
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
Finally DJIA has break above the strong resistance level of 11,257 (Apr-10 High) and generally the market is very bullish now!
For ProTM associates, with Dow breaking above 11,257 level and closed above this level, it confirms the big trapezium. I remembered Sifu mentioned during the 1st ProTM session back in August 2010, you have a lot of time to react. So for the time being, hold your fire to short and waits patiently for the opportunity to come to us.
DJIA closing: 11,444 (2 Years High)
Strong Resistance: 11,867 (Aug 2008 High)
Resistance: 11,786 (Sep 2008 High)
Support: 11,250
Strong Support: 11,050
One Senior associates told me that he is looking at DJIA toward 11,800 region, and he said "The higher it goes, the harder it falls." I like this comment very much and I am looking forward to this day.
Favour to Long DJIA, Trading Plan for Monday (Intraday):
Entry: 11335 SL 11295 TG 11455.
Nasdaq 100
Closing: 2186
Resistance: 2239 (Oct 2007 High)
Support: 2147 (Confluence Line)
2nd Support: 2130
Nasdaq 100 may have the potential to head higher, to test higher high towards 2230!
Pick Long at 2152. SL 2144 TG 2176 (Intraday) or ride the bullish trend towards 2,230.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
Finally DJIA has break above the strong resistance level of 11,257 (Apr-10 High) and generally the market is very bullish now!
For ProTM associates, with Dow breaking above 11,257 level and closed above this level, it confirms the big trapezium. I remembered Sifu mentioned during the 1st ProTM session back in August 2010, you have a lot of time to react. So for the time being, hold your fire to short and waits patiently for the opportunity to come to us.
DJIA closing: 11,444 (2 Years High)
Strong Resistance: 11,867 (Aug 2008 High)
Resistance: 11,786 (Sep 2008 High)
Support: 11,250
Strong Support: 11,050
One Senior associates told me that he is looking at DJIA toward 11,800 region, and he said "The higher it goes, the harder it falls." I like this comment very much and I am looking forward to this day.
Favour to Long DJIA, Trading Plan for Monday (Intraday):
Entry: 11335 SL 11295 TG 11455.
Nasdaq 100
Closing: 2186
Resistance: 2239 (Oct 2007 High)
Support: 2147 (Confluence Line)
2nd Support: 2130
Nasdaq 100 may have the potential to head higher, to test higher high towards 2230!
Pick Long at 2152. SL 2144 TG 2176 (Intraday) or ride the bullish trend towards 2,230.
Sunday, November 7, 2010
Weekly Forecast (FX)
EUR/USD
Technically, we saw a bearish engulfing pattern in Daily Chart on EUR/USD and current high of 1.4282 marked as a good resistance level.
Friday Closing: 1.4030
Strong Resistance: 1.4282
Current Resistance: 1.4249
Potential Support: 1.4000
Next Support: 1.3860
If we employ Fibonacci retracement theory, we can find that it is a good level to short if we are going to place our short at 1.4140 region, SL 1.4180, TG at 1.4000 potential support. If you want to play safe, you can either short at 1.4200 region with your SL placed at current resistance level of 1.4250 (personally I think it is a bit too far but who cares if you do not get an entry today, tomorrow is another new day).
GBP/USD
Harami pattern, Stochastic Cross at 87 region, with GBP/USD formed a reversal on Day chart, without hitting my target 1.6350, what am I going to do?
Highest 1.6295 on Thursday.
I believe this pair would face a few days of downward pressure, and waiting for Tuesday news release on Manufacturing Production m/m at 5.30pm (GMT+8).
Breaking below 1.6150 confirms the downturn, lead to first target 1.6000 then 1.5650.
Next, without breaking 1.6000, and reverse, then this pair might have potential to hit higher :) continue to drive north and go towards 1.6350.
Ayumi stay out.
USD/JPY
This week Lowest (1-Nov-2010): 80.30
This week Highest (4-Nov-2010) : 81.58
Closing on Friday (5-11-2010): 81.26
Quite positive on USD/JPY pair. Bullish Engulfing Pattern at the bottom of the chart.
Bearish trend in USD/JPY is very obvious too.
Travel in consolidation, no direction in this currency pair, if you employ EMA4 and EMA20 trading method, you need to be patient, we are going to trade if USD/JPY breaks above 81.60 or 82.00.
Failing to break above these 2 levels, this pair is going to fall to 79.80 region --- Lowest level since April 1995.
Ayumi Waiting patiently.
Technically, we saw a bearish engulfing pattern in Daily Chart on EUR/USD and current high of 1.4282 marked as a good resistance level.
Friday Closing: 1.4030
Strong Resistance: 1.4282
Current Resistance: 1.4249
Potential Support: 1.4000
Next Support: 1.3860
If we employ Fibonacci retracement theory, we can find that it is a good level to short if we are going to place our short at 1.4140 region, SL 1.4180, TG at 1.4000 potential support. If you want to play safe, you can either short at 1.4200 region with your SL placed at current resistance level of 1.4250 (personally I think it is a bit too far but who cares if you do not get an entry today, tomorrow is another new day).
GBP/USD
Harami pattern, Stochastic Cross at 87 region, with GBP/USD formed a reversal on Day chart, without hitting my target 1.6350, what am I going to do?
Highest 1.6295 on Thursday.
I believe this pair would face a few days of downward pressure, and waiting for Tuesday news release on Manufacturing Production m/m at 5.30pm (GMT+8).
Breaking below 1.6150 confirms the downturn, lead to first target 1.6000 then 1.5650.
Next, without breaking 1.6000, and reverse, then this pair might have potential to hit higher :) continue to drive north and go towards 1.6350.
Ayumi stay out.
USD/JPY
This week Lowest (1-Nov-2010): 80.30
This week Highest (4-Nov-2010) : 81.58
Closing on Friday (5-11-2010): 81.26
Quite positive on USD/JPY pair. Bullish Engulfing Pattern at the bottom of the chart.
Bearish trend in USD/JPY is very obvious too.
Travel in consolidation, no direction in this currency pair, if you employ EMA4 and EMA20 trading method, you need to be patient, we are going to trade if USD/JPY breaks above 81.60 or 82.00.
Failing to break above these 2 levels, this pair is going to fall to 79.80 region --- Lowest level since April 1995.
Ayumi Waiting patiently.
World's tallest Jesus statue finally assembled in Poland
Final elements were installed on the world's tallest statue of Jesus Christ on Saturday, marking an end to the five-year construction in a small Polish town, the PAP news agency reported.
The statue's torso, head and crown were installed on Saturday. The works were initially scheduled for Friday, but were delayed by strong winds.
A similar attempt failed two weeks ago as the 400-ton crane on site proved inadequate to lift the head and arms into position, and a 700-ton crane was brought in to complete the construction.
The town of Swiebodzin, which is off the beaten track near the German border, hopes its gigantic Jesus will become a tourist attraction as famous as the iconic Christ the Redeemer statue that overlooks Rio de Janeiro in Brazil.
The monument is expected to overshadow not only Christ the Redeemer, which stands at 39.6 meters (130 feet), but also the Cristo de la Concordia in Cochabamba, Bolivia, which rises to 40.44 meters (almost 133 feet).
The Polish statue itself is about 33 meters tall (108 feet), but its overall height, including the 16-meter (52.5 feet) mound and a two-meter (6.6 feet) crown, exceeds 51 meters (167 feet). Its total weight is about 440 metric tons.
The date of the official ceremony to unveil the monument is yet to be announced, but earlier media reports said it would take place on November 21.
Construction costs are estimated at almost $1.5 million, and the whole sum was raised through private donations.
The plans to build the statue have divided society in Poland. The supporters of the project say the statue would attract pilgrims to the city, while their opponents accused the church of megalomania and said the giant and costly project has nothing to do with the teaching of Jesus Christ.
MOSCOW, November 7 (RIA Novosti)
Source: http://en.rian.ru/Religion/20101107/161233387.html
UEM Land + Sunrise
KUALA LUMPUR (Dow Jones)--Malaysian property firms UEM Land Holdings Bhd. (5148.KU) and Sunrise Bhd. (6165.KU) plan to merge their operations via an exchange of shares, a move that will allow both firms to capitalize on the expected growth in the real estate sector.
A person familiar with the deal told Dow Jones Newswires that UEM Land, owned by state-controlled UEM Group, and Sunrise-- a developer of high-end real estate in Kuala Lumpur--plan to sign a share exchange agreement that will be announced tomorrow.
He declined to provide further details of the transaction.
Property analysts say a collaboration between the two companies is "positive and synergistic" but would rather wait for further details of the deal before making further comments.
"Sunrise has expertise in developing premium properties but most of their land bank is concentrated in Kuala Lumpur... a link-up with UEM Land, which has substantial land acreage in Iskandar (in southern Johor state), makes it very synergistic indeed," said an analyst with a foreign brokerage who declined to be named.
"It will also depend on how much of a role the current management of Sunrise will play in the new venture... Sunrise is highly successful in selling its high-end properties primarily due to its capable management team," he said.
Maybank analyst Wong Wei Sum said that as the deal structure hasn''t been revealed, it would be hard to assess the financial impact for either company. "It all depends on the valuation, but we have a fair value of MYR2.80 for Sunrise at the moment and we are positive on Sunrise''s fundamentals," Wong said.
Sunrise, controlled by investment analyst turned property developer Tong Kooi Ong, has market capitalization of MYR1.2 billion and a land bank of 587 acres in Malaysia, according to its website. The firm has recently expanded overseas with its maiden project in Canada.
UEM Land has market capitalization of MYR8.2 billion and is one of the largest property developers in Malaysia. It is currently developing some 15,000 acres in Iskandar and has over 5,000 acres available for future development. The company is also involved in a development in Cyberjaya, south of Kuala Lumpur.
UEM Land posted net profit of MYR114.6 million on revenue of MYR403 million in 2009, while Sunrise reported a net profit of MYR134.0 million on revenue of MYR590.7 million for its fiscal year ended June 30.
Trading in the shares of the two companies was suspended Wednesday pending an announcement. UEM Land shares ended Tuesday at MYR2.26, while Sunrise closed at MYR2.52.
A person familiar with the deal told Dow Jones Newswires that UEM Land, owned by state-controlled UEM Group, and Sunrise-- a developer of high-end real estate in Kuala Lumpur--plan to sign a share exchange agreement that will be announced tomorrow.
He declined to provide further details of the transaction.
Property analysts say a collaboration between the two companies is "positive and synergistic" but would rather wait for further details of the deal before making further comments.
"Sunrise has expertise in developing premium properties but most of their land bank is concentrated in Kuala Lumpur... a link-up with UEM Land, which has substantial land acreage in Iskandar (in southern Johor state), makes it very synergistic indeed," said an analyst with a foreign brokerage who declined to be named.
"It will also depend on how much of a role the current management of Sunrise will play in the new venture... Sunrise is highly successful in selling its high-end properties primarily due to its capable management team," he said.
Maybank analyst Wong Wei Sum said that as the deal structure hasn''t been revealed, it would be hard to assess the financial impact for either company. "It all depends on the valuation, but we have a fair value of MYR2.80 for Sunrise at the moment and we are positive on Sunrise''s fundamentals," Wong said.
Sunrise, controlled by investment analyst turned property developer Tong Kooi Ong, has market capitalization of MYR1.2 billion and a land bank of 587 acres in Malaysia, according to its website. The firm has recently expanded overseas with its maiden project in Canada.
UEM Land has market capitalization of MYR8.2 billion and is one of the largest property developers in Malaysia. It is currently developing some 15,000 acres in Iskandar and has over 5,000 acres available for future development. The company is also involved in a development in Cyberjaya, south of Kuala Lumpur.
UEM Land posted net profit of MYR114.6 million on revenue of MYR403 million in 2009, while Sunrise reported a net profit of MYR134.0 million on revenue of MYR590.7 million for its fiscal year ended June 30.
Trading in the shares of the two companies was suspended Wednesday pending an announcement. UEM Land shares ended Tuesday at MYR2.26, while Sunrise closed at MYR2.52.
-By Elffie Chew and K.P. Lee; Dow Jones Newswires; (603) 2026 1233; elffie.chew@dowjones.com, kwan-por.lee@dowjones.com
Friday, November 5, 2010
Transactions (FX)
Long GBP/USD
Entry: 1.6205
SL: 1.6155
TG: 1.6350
Entry: 1.6205
SL: 1.6155
TG: 1.6350
Gold
After Professional Trade Master Program my cluster group of 6 would cover on Gold market weekly and we may post our findings in the forum e-tutorial session.
I love this idea from our Sifu DAR as this is the great opportunities for associates to cross learn and share their market opinions and come to post their findings in the forum.
Whether you are trading, or not trading, whether you have 10 years experience, or 10 months, even only 10 days, posting up your market findings helps to fine tune your trading setups. While now we are also working in a group, there's much more interesting as traders get to share their opinion and it is a kind of brainstorming.
Not about being right or wrong, cuz we are doing forecast, and what we want is only the discipline.
I love sifu's saying: "Don't tell me you want to become a successful or profitable trader if you can't even wake up at 8am".
Not about 8am or 10am, if you choose 10am, it is fine too :) make a routine and commit ourselves to the market.
And remember one of sifu DAR Wong's 3N rule: Never think the market is wrong!
I would like to cover a bit on Gold after yesterday's rally and Gold has break above the overhead resistance of 1,387 last night with a sharp gain of USD$44!!
Gold on 4-11-2010 (Thu):
Open: 1348
High: 1394
Low: 1347
Close: 1387
Gold price at 8am: USD 1,386
What's next?
Coast clear! Gold is free to go towards another top, new top, new high.
My target is that Gold to hit 1,421 region.
Trading Plan on Gold (USD) for 5-11-2010 (Fri)
Gold Long
Entry: 1378-80, SL 1,370, TG 1400.
This is my very first posting on Gold, and remember my disclaimer: This blog is my personal trading journal, not a recommendation to buy or sell, do consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I love this idea from our Sifu DAR as this is the great opportunities for associates to cross learn and share their market opinions and come to post their findings in the forum.
Whether you are trading, or not trading, whether you have 10 years experience, or 10 months, even only 10 days, posting up your market findings helps to fine tune your trading setups. While now we are also working in a group, there's much more interesting as traders get to share their opinion and it is a kind of brainstorming.
Not about being right or wrong, cuz we are doing forecast, and what we want is only the discipline.
I love sifu's saying: "Don't tell me you want to become a successful or profitable trader if you can't even wake up at 8am".
Not about 8am or 10am, if you choose 10am, it is fine too :) make a routine and commit ourselves to the market.
And remember one of sifu DAR Wong's 3N rule: Never think the market is wrong!
I would like to cover a bit on Gold after yesterday's rally and Gold has break above the overhead resistance of 1,387 last night with a sharp gain of USD$44!!
Gold on 4-11-2010 (Thu):
Open: 1348
High: 1394
Low: 1347
Close: 1387
Gold price at 8am: USD 1,386
What's next?
Coast clear! Gold is free to go towards another top, new top, new high.
My target is that Gold to hit 1,421 region.
Trading Plan on Gold (USD) for 5-11-2010 (Fri)
Gold Long
Entry: 1378-80, SL 1,370, TG 1400.
This is my very first posting on Gold, and remember my disclaimer: This blog is my personal trading journal, not a recommendation to buy or sell, do consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Thursday, November 4, 2010
Transactions (FX) and (DJI)
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
I didn't trade yesterday due to mid term election and FOMC statement, and ADP Non Farm employment change.
Trading Plan on DJIA for 4-11-2010 (Thu)
DJIA Long (Intraday)
Entry 11,087.29 (Support 11050) SL 11,047 TG 11,200
DJIA Short (Intraday)
Entry 11,249 (new high?) SL 11,289 TG 11,090 current support)
If you read my previous posting on DJIA, you know that I am looking at DJIA to close above 11200 level, and YES! It did!
DJIA closing on 3/11/2010: 11,215!
So What's Next?
I am waiting for reversal and closing below 11200 level again.
My position trading setup1 for DJIA for the coming waterfall remain the same:
DJIA Short
Entry 11240 SL 11340 TG 10750
GBP/USD
GBP/USD has finally crossed above 1.6100!
It has formed a high of 1.6166 last night and the market is simply volatile ~ Big Swing.
With such a bullish sentiment, would GBP/USD continue to head up to 1.6350 region before a reversal pattern can form?
Forecast on GBP/USD, to continue to go up to 1.6350 region.
Trading Plan on GBP/USD for 4-11-2010 (Thu)
GBP/USD Long (Intraday)
For PW Traders, check weekly fibo retracement and Daily XABC going to 3L you will get the target price like I did!
Happy Trading =)
I didn't trade yesterday due to mid term election and FOMC statement, and ADP Non Farm employment change.
Trading Plan on DJIA for 4-11-2010 (Thu)
DJIA Long (Intraday)
Entry 11,087.29 (Support 11050) SL 11,047 TG 11,200
DJIA Short (Intraday)
Entry 11,249 (new high?) SL 11,289 TG 11,090 current support)
If you read my previous posting on DJIA, you know that I am looking at DJIA to close above 11200 level, and YES! It did!
DJIA closing on 3/11/2010: 11,215!
So What's Next?
I am waiting for reversal and closing below 11200 level again.
My position trading setup1 for DJIA for the coming waterfall remain the same:
DJIA Short
Entry 11240 SL 11340 TG 10750
GBP/USD
GBP/USD has finally crossed above 1.6100!
It has formed a high of 1.6166 last night and the market is simply volatile ~ Big Swing.
With such a bullish sentiment, would GBP/USD continue to head up to 1.6350 region before a reversal pattern can form?
Forecast on GBP/USD, to continue to go up to 1.6350 region.
Trading Plan on GBP/USD for 4-11-2010 (Thu)
GBP/USD Long (Intraday)
Entry 1.6065 SL 1.6020 TG 1.6185
For PW Traders, check weekly fibo retracement and Daily XABC going to 3L you will get the target price like I did!
Happy Trading =)
US Summary, DJIA at 2-Yr High Close
USD fall vs rivals after Fed announces fresh round of asset purchases to kickstart economy. USD dropped sharply in extremely volatile trading in initial reaction but soon recovered most of the loss. Investors expected roughly $500 billion in Treasury purchases over 5-6 months, notes Vassili Serebriakov, FX strategist at Wells Fargo in New York, but Fed announced $600 billion package over 8 months. Late Wednesday, EUR/USD was at 1.4122, vs 1.4034 late Tuesday, USD/JPY 81.13 vs 80.64, EUR/JPY 114.59 vs 113.19, GBP/CHF $1.6095 vs $1.6028, USD/CHF 0.9707 vs 0.9795. U.S. Dollar Index was 76.396 vs 76.731.
DJIA made 2-year closing high after violent bouncing following congressional election, QE2.
BlackRock down 4.3%, after Bank of America said offering at least 34.5 million shares it holds in it, while fellow part-owner PNC Financial Services selling up to 7.5 million shares. PNC +2.2%, BoA +1.1%. KKR +0.4% even as 3Q earnings dropped 61% after its private-equity portfolio appreciated less than in year-earlier. Dow +0.2%, Nasdaq +0.3%, Philly Semicons +1.0%. 30-year Treasury bond tumbled, erasing earlier gains, as it wasn''t favored in U.S. Fed''s debt buying program, while 10-year also reversed gains.
Oil prices hit fresh 6-month high as Fed''s widely anticipated QE followed bigger-than-expected decline in U.S. fuel inventories;
December Nymex settled up 0.9% at $84.69/bbl. Gold prices whipsawed in after-market trade as investors were skittish after FOMC announcement.
However, December Comex gold closed down 1.4% at $1337.60/oz. (lucy.craymer@dowjones.com)
US Stocks End Volatile Session Higher; DJIA At 2-Yr High Close;
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lurched to a two-year closing high, bouncing around violently after the congressional election and after the Federal Reserve said it would buy $600 billion to prime the domestic economy.
The Dow gained 26.41 points, or 0.24%, to finish at 11215.13 after a volatile afternoon, while the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index added 4.39 points, or 0.37%, to close at 1197.96 and the Nasdaq Composite edged up 6.75 points, or 0.27%, to 2540.27.
The 10-year Treasury note sank, pushing the yield up to 2.625%. Gold and copper also fell as the Fed said it would maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings, and purchase a further $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011 at a pace of about $75 billion a month.
The Fed said it would also "regularly review the pace of its securities purchases and the overall size of the asset-purchase program" as economic data flow in.
Expectations of Fed easing had helped fuel a two-month surge on the stock market that has added 12% to the Dow.
The Fed move was generally in line with market estimates, putting to rest the idea that the central bank would proceed on a more cautious step-by-step basis from the get-go.
Anthony Chan, chief economist at J.P. Morgan Private Wealth Management, said that tepid approach was now "off the table." Chan said the Fed's approach would help with "taking the uncertainty out of the air."
Keith Springer, president of Capital Financial Advisory Services, said the Fed delivered "the bare minimum" of what the market would accept, but warned that there was a gloomy message in the size of its package. "Things must be pretty bad out there for the Fed to be this worried," he said.
Dan Cook, chief executive of IG Markets-U.S. in Chicago, said the move was "right in line" with market expectations, leading to some of the initial market confusion. "I had expected more of a pop, but it was just so close to what was expected," he said. "This might be a thing where we have a battle that goes on for a bit before they pick a direction."
Scott Clemons, chief investment strategist for Brown Brothers Harriman, said the Fed's push to further ease monetary conditions would likely maintain downward pressure on the dollar. "I think it's actually an explicit desire of the Fed--it makes our export markets more attractive, and it makes imports more expensive, which helps to import inflation, and the Fed has said very clearly they would like to see some inflation," Clemons said.
The market moves came on a day when the economy showed tepid signs of improvement. Private-sector employment grew by 43,000 in October, topping consensus estimates of a 22,000-job gain. U.S. factory orders rose by a higher-than-expected 2.1% in September, the third consecutive month of growth for one of the economy's key drivers. Meanwhile, a measure of non-manufacturing activity came in at 54.3 for October, higher than September's 53.2 reading and better than consensus expectations of 53.5.
After the Fed's intervention, "I think if the data continues to be marginally positive, which it's been over the last couple weeks, there could be some fuel to the fire" to keep the rally in stocks going, said Frank Longman, market technician at Brean Murray, Carret & Co.
Companies in focus include BlackRock, which tumbled 4.3% after Bank of America said it is offering at least 34.5 million shares it holds in the money manager, while fellow part-owner PNC Financial Services Group is selling up to 7.5 million shares. Bank of America may also sell another 6.3 million shares in the overallotment option. PNC gained 2.2%, while Bank of America added 1.1%.
KKR gained 0.4% even as third-quarter earnings dropped 61% after its private-equity portfolio appreciated less than in the year-earlier period, thus hurting its revenue.
Some auto makers fared well after reporting significant jumps in new-vehicle sales amid stronger buying by American consumers. Ford Motor gained 5.2% after reporting a sales increase of 19% in October from the year before. Honda Motor gained 0.4% after reporting gains of 16%.
Garmin slumped 5.3% after a 30% increase in earnings at the maker of digital navigation devices missed analysts' expectations and came amid weaker sales and margins.
PulteGroup lost 7.7% after the Michigan home developer's third-quarter loss widened to nearly $1 billion. Pulte said orders dropped 12% from a year earlier and 15% from the second quarter.
Hartford Financial Services Group jumped 9.2% after the insurer beat third-quarter earnings expectations and raised its 2010 profit estimate.
MGM Resorts International surged 10% as the company's third-quarter loss narrowed amid sharply lower write-downs related to its struggling Las Vegas City Center complex.
Time Warner shed 1.1% after its earnings fell 21%, as the media giant took a hit related to debt redemptions, though adjusted earnings and revenue rose. AOL, which was spun off from the media giant last year, rose 3.2% after asset sales helped the Internet company boost profits.
Aetna gained 2.9% after earnings rose 53% as investment gains and lower medical costs offset continued declines in employer-based membership. Wellpoint, however, dropped 0.5% after third-quarter profit rose 1.2% following prior-year write-downs as claims costs rose, contrasting with a trend seen in much of the health-insurance industry this year.
U.S.-traded shares of French bank Societe Generale gained 3.7% after the lender said its third-quarter net profit doubled due to lower bad-loan provisions and growth in international retail banking.
Stocks in Europe stuck largely to the sidelines ahead of the Fed decision, with the Stoxx 600 index finishing down 0.4%. In Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index broke above 24000 to trade at its highest level since mid-2008, led by banks.
Gold tumbled to below $1340 an ounce, while oil jumped to its highest settle in six months.
DJIA made 2-year closing high after violent bouncing following congressional election, QE2.
BlackRock down 4.3%, after Bank of America said offering at least 34.5 million shares it holds in it, while fellow part-owner PNC Financial Services selling up to 7.5 million shares. PNC +2.2%, BoA +1.1%. KKR +0.4% even as 3Q earnings dropped 61% after its private-equity portfolio appreciated less than in year-earlier. Dow +0.2%, Nasdaq +0.3%, Philly Semicons +1.0%. 30-year Treasury bond tumbled, erasing earlier gains, as it wasn''t favored in U.S. Fed''s debt buying program, while 10-year also reversed gains.
Oil prices hit fresh 6-month high as Fed''s widely anticipated QE followed bigger-than-expected decline in U.S. fuel inventories;
December Nymex settled up 0.9% at $84.69/bbl. Gold prices whipsawed in after-market trade as investors were skittish after FOMC announcement.
However, December Comex gold closed down 1.4% at $1337.60/oz. (lucy.craymer@dowjones.com)
US Stocks End Volatile Session Higher; DJIA At 2-Yr High Close;
By JONATHAN CHENG
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lurched to a two-year closing high, bouncing around violently after the congressional election and after the Federal Reserve said it would buy $600 billion to prime the domestic economy.
The Dow gained 26.41 points, or 0.24%, to finish at 11215.13 after a volatile afternoon, while the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index added 4.39 points, or 0.37%, to close at 1197.96 and the Nasdaq Composite edged up 6.75 points, or 0.27%, to 2540.27.
The 10-year Treasury note sank, pushing the yield up to 2.625%. Gold and copper also fell as the Fed said it would maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings, and purchase a further $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011 at a pace of about $75 billion a month.
The Fed said it would also "regularly review the pace of its securities purchases and the overall size of the asset-purchase program" as economic data flow in.
Expectations of Fed easing had helped fuel a two-month surge on the stock market that has added 12% to the Dow.
The Fed move was generally in line with market estimates, putting to rest the idea that the central bank would proceed on a more cautious step-by-step basis from the get-go.
Anthony Chan, chief economist at J.P. Morgan Private Wealth Management, said that tepid approach was now "off the table." Chan said the Fed's approach would help with "taking the uncertainty out of the air."
Keith Springer, president of Capital Financial Advisory Services, said the Fed delivered "the bare minimum" of what the market would accept, but warned that there was a gloomy message in the size of its package. "Things must be pretty bad out there for the Fed to be this worried," he said.
Dan Cook, chief executive of IG Markets-U.S. in Chicago, said the move was "right in line" with market expectations, leading to some of the initial market confusion. "I had expected more of a pop, but it was just so close to what was expected," he said. "This might be a thing where we have a battle that goes on for a bit before they pick a direction."
Scott Clemons, chief investment strategist for Brown Brothers Harriman, said the Fed's push to further ease monetary conditions would likely maintain downward pressure on the dollar. "I think it's actually an explicit desire of the Fed--it makes our export markets more attractive, and it makes imports more expensive, which helps to import inflation, and the Fed has said very clearly they would like to see some inflation," Clemons said.
The market moves came on a day when the economy showed tepid signs of improvement. Private-sector employment grew by 43,000 in October, topping consensus estimates of a 22,000-job gain. U.S. factory orders rose by a higher-than-expected 2.1% in September, the third consecutive month of growth for one of the economy's key drivers. Meanwhile, a measure of non-manufacturing activity came in at 54.3 for October, higher than September's 53.2 reading and better than consensus expectations of 53.5.
After the Fed's intervention, "I think if the data continues to be marginally positive, which it's been over the last couple weeks, there could be some fuel to the fire" to keep the rally in stocks going, said Frank Longman, market technician at Brean Murray, Carret & Co.
Companies in focus include BlackRock, which tumbled 4.3% after Bank of America said it is offering at least 34.5 million shares it holds in the money manager, while fellow part-owner PNC Financial Services Group is selling up to 7.5 million shares. Bank of America may also sell another 6.3 million shares in the overallotment option. PNC gained 2.2%, while Bank of America added 1.1%.
KKR gained 0.4% even as third-quarter earnings dropped 61% after its private-equity portfolio appreciated less than in the year-earlier period, thus hurting its revenue.
Some auto makers fared well after reporting significant jumps in new-vehicle sales amid stronger buying by American consumers. Ford Motor gained 5.2% after reporting a sales increase of 19% in October from the year before. Honda Motor gained 0.4% after reporting gains of 16%.
Garmin slumped 5.3% after a 30% increase in earnings at the maker of digital navigation devices missed analysts' expectations and came amid weaker sales and margins.
PulteGroup lost 7.7% after the Michigan home developer's third-quarter loss widened to nearly $1 billion. Pulte said orders dropped 12% from a year earlier and 15% from the second quarter.
Hartford Financial Services Group jumped 9.2% after the insurer beat third-quarter earnings expectations and raised its 2010 profit estimate.
MGM Resorts International surged 10% as the company's third-quarter loss narrowed amid sharply lower write-downs related to its struggling Las Vegas City Center complex.
Time Warner shed 1.1% after its earnings fell 21%, as the media giant took a hit related to debt redemptions, though adjusted earnings and revenue rose. AOL, which was spun off from the media giant last year, rose 3.2% after asset sales helped the Internet company boost profits.
Aetna gained 2.9% after earnings rose 53% as investment gains and lower medical costs offset continued declines in employer-based membership. Wellpoint, however, dropped 0.5% after third-quarter profit rose 1.2% following prior-year write-downs as claims costs rose, contrasting with a trend seen in much of the health-insurance industry this year.
U.S.-traded shares of French bank Societe Generale gained 3.7% after the lender said its third-quarter net profit doubled due to lower bad-loan provisions and growth in international retail banking.
Stocks in Europe stuck largely to the sidelines ahead of the Fed decision, with the Stoxx 600 index finishing down 0.4%. In Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index broke above 24000 to trade at its highest level since mid-2008, led by banks.
Gold tumbled to below $1340 an ounce, while oil jumped to its highest settle in six months.
(Donna Kardos Yesalavich, Steve Russolillo and Kristina Peterson contributed to this article.)
--By Jonathan Cheng, The Wall Street Journal; Jonathan.Cheng@wsj.com
Labels:
Commodities,
DJIA,
Financial,
Gold,
Nasdaq 100,
WTI Crude
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Transactions (FX) and (DJI)
DJIA
Doji Star formed on DJIA
Open: 11,124
Close: 11,124
High: 11,244
Low: 11,062
Shorted at 11,210 and closed at 11,090.
Today, DJIA has moved towards 11,247 and recorded high of 11,244.
For PW traders, you will know that the market has formed a new B on Day Chart with our initial target price at 10,780.
If you have missed the short, or have already covered your short position like I did today, you can still expect the market to return to 11,200 region for a short opportunity.
Trading Plan on DJIA for 2-11-2010 (Tue)
DJIA Long (Intraday)
Entry 11,044.29 SL 11,004 TG 11,200
DJIA Short (Intraday)
Entry 11,222 SL 11,300 TG 11,050
DJIA Short (6 market days, estimates market to hit target by 10th Nov)
Entry 11,240 SL 11,340 TG 10,750.
I am actually hoping DJIA to:
Tuesday (2nd-Nov-10) close the daily candle at 11,200-11,220,
Wednesday (3rd-Nov) to create a marginal top at 11,300 but closed at 11,200 again.
Thursday (4th Nov) market confirmation of reversal + triple crossing on intraday chart
Friday (5th Nov) start of the waterfall
Everyday I wanted to short at top, but everyday I remind myself that the news release and market anxiety can drive the bull crazy, and the bear will also fight with its strongest strength. The Risk : Reward is good if you know what I mean, and I believe you will have the highest patience now waiting for the market to tell us the truth, whether we are right, or we are wrong.
I remembered mentor JC shared an interesting and funny conversation some time ago: "Oh no... Please don't tell us that we are early (again!)" Hint: Market moves opposite, and triggered SL (again).
At this point, DJIA at 11,124.62, I do not know whether the market has confirmed the completion of XAB, or will a new X formed by Wednesday, but I personally have a feeling that it will. Thats why I would prefer to short at 11,240, place my ultimate stop at 100 points away, and aim for 10,750 as my target price.
Secondly, this only the 1st Phase of correction, once DJIA has broken 10,750 convincingly, there would be 2nd Phase and we aim another 400 - 500 points, or more!
Traders, I hope you like what I have shared, and I hope all can make some good trades, make good profit towards the end of November 2010.
Related: My Weekly Forecast on DJIA & Nasdaq 100 on 1-Nov-2010
My forecast on EUR/USD back on 13th October - forecast market movement by 3rd Nov or 10th Nov
Doji Star formed on DJIA
Open: 11,124
Close: 11,124
High: 11,244
Low: 11,062
Shorted at 11,210 and closed at 11,090.
Today, DJIA has moved towards 11,247 and recorded high of 11,244.
For PW traders, you will know that the market has formed a new B on Day Chart with our initial target price at 10,780.
If you have missed the short, or have already covered your short position like I did today, you can still expect the market to return to 11,200 region for a short opportunity.
Trading Plan on DJIA for 2-11-2010 (Tue)
DJIA Long (Intraday)
Entry 11,044.29 SL 11,004 TG 11,200
DJIA Short (Intraday)
Entry 11,222 SL 11,300 TG 11,050
DJIA Short (6 market days, estimates market to hit target by 10th Nov)
Entry 11,240 SL 11,340 TG 10,750.
I am actually hoping DJIA to:
Tuesday (2nd-Nov-10) close the daily candle at 11,200-11,220,
Wednesday (3rd-Nov) to create a marginal top at 11,300 but closed at 11,200 again.
Thursday (4th Nov) market confirmation of reversal + triple crossing on intraday chart
Friday (5th Nov) start of the waterfall
Everyday I wanted to short at top, but everyday I remind myself that the news release and market anxiety can drive the bull crazy, and the bear will also fight with its strongest strength. The Risk : Reward is good if you know what I mean, and I believe you will have the highest patience now waiting for the market to tell us the truth, whether we are right, or we are wrong.
I remembered mentor JC shared an interesting and funny conversation some time ago: "Oh no... Please don't tell us that we are early (again!)" Hint: Market moves opposite, and triggered SL (again).
At this point, DJIA at 11,124.62, I do not know whether the market has confirmed the completion of XAB, or will a new X formed by Wednesday, but I personally have a feeling that it will. Thats why I would prefer to short at 11,240, place my ultimate stop at 100 points away, and aim for 10,750 as my target price.
Secondly, this only the 1st Phase of correction, once DJIA has broken 10,750 convincingly, there would be 2nd Phase and we aim another 400 - 500 points, or more!
Traders, I hope you like what I have shared, and I hope all can make some good trades, make good profit towards the end of November 2010.
Related: My Weekly Forecast on DJIA & Nasdaq 100 on 1-Nov-2010
My forecast on EUR/USD back on 13th October - forecast market movement by 3rd Nov or 10th Nov
Sunday, October 31, 2010
DJIA and Nasdaq 100
I have just attended sifu DAR's 2-Days Professional Trade Master program and happy to meet many dedicated traders and I personally re-learn many things from Sifu - Sifu's proven, powerful and universal trading concept!
For those who has followed our forum and practised Fibo range, congratulations as I believed you have at least made 200 points from the DJIA market last week :)
The Fed's statement on Thursday 2.15am ( GMT+8 ) at the end of its two-day policy meeting is widely anticipated for details of the central bank's economic stimulus plan.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
Closing: 11,118
Strong Resistance: 11,257
Current Resistance: 11,247
Current Support: 10,920
Strong Support: 10,750
We foresee that this market is going to consolidate in the beginning of the week, however, the selling pressure is there and the wait is almost over as DJIA is currently trading near its strong resistance level.
I favour to plant my shorts at 11,210 region with SL at 11,300 region for the waterfall.
Agressive long traders can opt for intraday trade and long at 11,021 region with SL at 10,950 region.
What if, 2nd scenario, if US Fed Reserve extend the quantitative easing measures (QE2), or announces great fundamental news, market would break this strong resistance 11,257 and closed above, it may go higher towards August-2008 top 11,867.
In our opinion (DJIA team), you should just short at price near 11,210 region and place your stop at 11,250 or even 11,300 to avoid the swing, the nearer you short around this top, the lesser risk you will take but reward will be good. I am looking at target 10,750 and this is the BKO level that we have covered in Professional Trade Master Program last weekend.
Nasdaq 100
Closing: 2,124
Strong Resistance: 2,147
Current Resistance: 2,130
Current Support: 2,106
Support: 2,055
Same as previous week, Nasdaq 100 may have potential towards Dec-2007 high 2,147.
Nasdaq 100 Trading plan (Intraday)
Long 2,100 SL 2,090 TG 2,140.
Short when market is trading near its strong resistance 2,147 region, place your stop 10 points away.
For those who has followed our forum and practised Fibo range, congratulations as I believed you have at least made 200 points from the DJIA market last week :)
The Fed's statement on Thursday 2.15am ( GMT+8 ) at the end of its two-day policy meeting is widely anticipated for details of the central bank's economic stimulus plan.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)
Closing: 11,118
Strong Resistance: 11,257
Current Resistance: 11,247
Current Support: 10,920
Strong Support: 10,750
We foresee that this market is going to consolidate in the beginning of the week, however, the selling pressure is there and the wait is almost over as DJIA is currently trading near its strong resistance level.
I favour to plant my shorts at 11,210 region with SL at 11,300 region for the waterfall.
Agressive long traders can opt for intraday trade and long at 11,021 region with SL at 10,950 region.
What if, 2nd scenario, if US Fed Reserve extend the quantitative easing measures (QE2), or announces great fundamental news, market would break this strong resistance 11,257 and closed above, it may go higher towards August-2008 top 11,867.
In our opinion (DJIA team), you should just short at price near 11,210 region and place your stop at 11,250 or even 11,300 to avoid the swing, the nearer you short around this top, the lesser risk you will take but reward will be good. I am looking at target 10,750 and this is the BKO level that we have covered in Professional Trade Master Program last weekend.
Nasdaq 100
Closing: 2,124
Strong Resistance: 2,147
Current Resistance: 2,130
Current Support: 2,106
Support: 2,055
Same as previous week, Nasdaq 100 may have potential towards Dec-2007 high 2,147.
Nasdaq 100 Trading plan (Intraday)
Long 2,100 SL 2,090 TG 2,140.
Short when market is trading near its strong resistance 2,147 region, place your stop 10 points away.
Friday, October 29, 2010
Transactions (FX) and (DJI)
DJIA
If you follow DJIA, you are still seeing DJIA swinging ups and downs. I almost thought that the swing should end yesterday, however, with the closing price near its opening price (again), I am still waiting patiently for DJIA to break above its current resistance 11180.
Closing (Thu): 11,113
Strong Resistance: 11,257
Resistance: 11,247
Current Resistance: 11,180
Current Support: 11,050
Support: 11,020
Next Support: 10,950
Trading Plan for DJIA on 29-10-2010 (Fri)
DJIA Long (Intraday)
Entry: 11042 SL 10998 TG 11200
DJIA Short
Entry: 11234 SL 11300 TG 11050
Brushing up my entry and stop loss, the closer it gets to the resistance levels and reverse is the best spot for the waterfall in making. Beware of market swing and don't let greed overtake you!
GBP/USD
Current: 1.5950
Resistance: 1.6103
Current Resistance: 1.5980
Current Support: 1.5750
Support: 1.5650
Next Support: 1.5500
I may be right, I may be wrong, but I would love to trade a Long for intraday, and planting my shorts for GBP/USD and ride the short through its base 1.5650 and next support 1.5550-1.5500.
Only trade with the price action, and follow your trading plan.
My trading plan for GBP/USD on 29-10-2010 (Friday):
GBP/USD Long
Entry 1.5710 SL 1.5650 TG 1.5900
GBP/USD Short
Entry 1.5950 SL 1.6000 TG 1.5750
Its Friday and Sifu DAR Wong is coming to KL and tomorrow would be the Professional Trade Master Program, if you stay near Peninsular Malaysia, this 2 days workshop is currently selling at RM4800 / SGD2200 strongly encourage traders to attend.
Related:
Forecast GBP/USD on 28-Oct-2010
Professional Trade Master Program :: Apsri Traders
My Weekly Forecast on DJIA for 25 Oct 2010
If you follow DJIA, you are still seeing DJIA swinging ups and downs. I almost thought that the swing should end yesterday, however, with the closing price near its opening price (again), I am still waiting patiently for DJIA to break above its current resistance 11180.
Closing (Thu): 11,113
Strong Resistance: 11,257
Resistance: 11,247
Current Resistance: 11,180
Current Support: 11,050
Support: 11,020
Next Support: 10,950
Trading Plan for DJIA on 29-10-2010 (Fri)
DJIA Long (Intraday)
Entry: 11042 SL 10998 TG 11200
DJIA Short
Entry: 11234 SL 11300 TG 11050
Brushing up my entry and stop loss, the closer it gets to the resistance levels and reverse is the best spot for the waterfall in making. Beware of market swing and don't let greed overtake you!
GBP/USD
- For PW traders, previous up wave for GBP/USD (taking X on 20-5-2010 low), GBP/USD has hit 3L, recording a high of 1.6103 on 15-10-2010;
- From Weekly Chart, GBP/USD has reached a good fibonacci retracement level with a nice candlestick reversal pattern on Day Chart on 15-10-2010.
- Don't despair if you didn't get a short entry 2 weeks ago, market has unveil the next opportunity.
Current: 1.5950
Resistance: 1.6103
Current Resistance: 1.5980
Current Support: 1.5750
Support: 1.5650
Next Support: 1.5500
I may be right, I may be wrong, but I would love to trade a Long for intraday, and planting my shorts for GBP/USD and ride the short through its base 1.5650 and next support 1.5550-1.5500.
Only trade with the price action, and follow your trading plan.
My trading plan for GBP/USD on 29-10-2010 (Friday):
GBP/USD Long
Entry 1.5710 SL 1.5650 TG 1.5900
GBP/USD Short
Entry 1.5950 SL 1.6000 TG 1.5750
Its Friday and Sifu DAR Wong is coming to KL and tomorrow would be the Professional Trade Master Program, if you stay near Peninsular Malaysia, this 2 days workshop is currently selling at RM4800 / SGD2200 strongly encourage traders to attend.
Forecast GBP/USD on 28-Oct-2010
Professional Trade Master Program :: Apsri Traders
My Weekly Forecast on DJIA for 25 Oct 2010
Thursday, October 28, 2010
GBP/USD
I like GBP/USD and it looks interesting to me now.Would consider a short entry if it reaches 1.60 region again.
GBP/USD currently trading at 1.5930.
GBP/USD
Current: 1.5930
Resistance: 1.6104
Current Resistance: 1.5980
Current Support: 1.5750
Support: 1.5650
Next Support: 1.5500
Prefer a short position near 1.6104 region, or choose to long for intraday trades.
I will post my trading plan tomorrow on GBP/USD as well as DJIA.
GBP/USD currently trading at 1.5930.
GBP/USD
Current: 1.5930
Resistance: 1.6104
Current Resistance: 1.5980
Current Support: 1.5750
Support: 1.5650
Next Support: 1.5500
Prefer a short position near 1.6104 region, or choose to long for intraday trades.
I will post my trading plan tomorrow on GBP/USD as well as DJIA.
DJIA and Nasdaq 100
I am checking my open position last night on DJIA.
Long DJIA 11048 activated, and in floating profit of +7 points, however, after 30 minutes, it became -20 points.
Since I have already decided the trading plan, be it triggered stop loss or close position this morning with whatever profit or loss.
This morning looking at my Long, profit +70 points, and I closed the position. Follow the plan, and believe this is the best trading plan I can do for this week.
And once again, DJIA has proven its BIG Swing for 3rd consecutive days in this week.
My Trading Plan for today:
DJIA Long
Entry 11051 SL 11007 TG 11200
DJIA Short
Entry 11245 SL 11289 TG 11051
Related: My Weekly Forecast on DJIA for 25 Oct 2010
Long DJIA 11048 activated, and in floating profit of +7 points, however, after 30 minutes, it became -20 points.
Since I have already decided the trading plan, be it triggered stop loss or close position this morning with whatever profit or loss.
This morning looking at my Long, profit +70 points, and I closed the position. Follow the plan, and believe this is the best trading plan I can do for this week.
And once again, DJIA has proven its BIG Swing for 3rd consecutive days in this week.
US Stocks Pare Losses; DJIA, S&P 500 Lower As Energy Sector DragsSource: Dow Jones Newswire http://www.djnewsplus.com/article/0,,SB128817530572748371,00.html?mod=article-outset-box
By Jonathan Cheng
NEW YORK -- U.S. stocks pared their losses to close near the day's highs, as investors grappled with shifting expectations for a major bout of easing by the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 43.18 points, or 0.4%, to 11126.28 while the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index lost 3.19 points, or 0.3%, to 1182.45. The Nasdaq Composite added 5.97 points, or 0.24%, to finish at 2503.26. Stocks retraced most of their earlier declines, when the Dow was down by nearly 150 points in intraday trading.
Energy stocks were among the biggest drags on the stock market, after weekly oil-inventory numbers showed U.S. stockpiles of crude oil rising by five million barrels. Exxon Mobil dropped 1.3% and Chevron fell 1% as crude-oil prices fell.
ConocoPhillips fell 1.2%, despite posting third-quarter earnings that more than doubled, buoyed by higher commodities prices and improved refining margins.
Oil prices also were hurt by the rising dollar, which hit commodity prices across the board. Gold fell to just over $1,320 an ounce, while copper tumbled 2.3%. That sent down materials and industrials stocks, the two worst-performing sectors of the day.
Merck dropped 1.7% to lead the decliners on the Dow, while Alcoa shed 1.3%. Bank of America gained 2.1% to lead the Dow industrials as well as a broader recovery in financial stocks after concerns earlier this month about mortgage foreclosures.
The declines came as investors tamped down expectations for a "shock-and-awe" approach by the Fed to help the economy, a strategy the central bank had turned to during the financial crisis, in favor of an approach that allows them to adjust policy over time as the recovery unfolds.
Expectations are now increasing for the Fed to unveil a program of U.S. Treasury bond purchases of a few hundred billion dollars over several months, an approach in contrast to the central bank's purchases of nearly $2 trillion of bonds during the financial crisis.
"The Fed was out there sending out a message," said Jay Suskind, senior vice president at Duncan-Williams. "It was a cue for the market that maybe from a commodity and dollar destruction standpoint, those trends went too far." Suskind said the sell-off was a natural one that came with "no panic," as investors came to a consensus that expectations for the Fed, as well as Tuesday's congressional elections and the generally strong earnings season, have been more or less priced into the market.
The Fed's apparent attempt to back away from "shock and awe" helped the dollar bounce back against most of its major rivals. The Australian dollar tumbled 1.5% against the greenback, while the dollar rose to 81.69 yen, from 81.50 yen late Tuesday in New York, and the euro fell to $1.3767, from $1.3852.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury fell, pushing the yield to its highest point in over a month, at 2.712%.
The concerns over the Fed came amid modestly positive data on durable-goods orders and the housing market.
U.S. manufactured durable-goods orders posted their biggest rise since January after a spike in orders for civilian aircraft and aircraft parts, an often volatile category. Overall, durable-goods orders rose 3.3% in September to a seasonally adjusted $199.16 billion, more than the expected 2.5% rise.
Meanwhile, new-home sales in September continued their rise from a rock-bottom level, increasing 6.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 307,000, more than consensus estimates of a 4.2% increase.
"The durable-goods number, if you strip out aircrafts, wasn't a great number," said Michael Shea, managing partner of Direct Access Partners, who added that the home data reflected a weak housing environment.
Shea said the bounce back in financial stocks came as investors moved to put questions about mortgage foreclosures in the past. "A lot of rational people were coming out, saying let's not throw the baby out with the bath water," he said. "It's not as dire for the share prices as we would have thought, and we're finally getting that."
Among companies reporting earnings, Whirlpool fell 4.1% after the appliance maker's profit fell 9.2%, though sales in Latin America and Asia showed strength.
Sprint Nextel slumped 9.9% after the telecommunications giant said its loss widened, although the company reported its biggest net subscriber gain since 2006.
Comcast gained 3.2% despite a decline in profits at the cable provider, which suffered from a summer slowdown in subscriber growth and costs related to its deal for NBC Universal weighed on its performance.
American depositary receipts of U.K. drug company GlaxoSmithKline fell 0.8% after it agreed to pay $750 million and plead guilty to a criminal charge to settle a U.S. government investigation of manufacturing deficiencies at its former plant in Puerto Rico.
Ford Motor, which posted a 70% jump in third-quarter profit Tuesday, fell 0.9%.
Procter & Gamble edged up 0.4% after the consumer-products company posted strong volume gains, though quarterly earnings fell 6.8%.
American depositary receipts of German software maker SAP dropped 5.2% after quarterly results fell short of expectations, and the business-software company was hit by legal provisions in connection with a $2 billion lawsuit brought against it by rival Oracle.
My Trading Plan for today:
DJIA Long
Entry 11051 SL 11007 TG 11200
DJIA Short
Entry 11245 SL 11289 TG 11051
Related: My Weekly Forecast on DJIA for 25 Oct 2010
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